Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Bennett wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 47.2% vs Stamkos 50.9% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 78.3%
Defensive zone
Bennett 61.1%
Neutral zone
Bennett 62.9%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Bennett
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Bennett
Stamkos
Last 10: Bennett 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bennett
Stamkos
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
5
Bennett
Stamkos
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
4
Bennett
Stamkos
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (756)
49.3% (789)
-3.8%
Power Play
63.0% (92)
56.9% (181)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
31.0% (29)
54.1% (98)
-23.1%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Bennett is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (313).
Bennett shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Bennett
Stamkos
Home
46.5% (456)
52.0% (512)
Away
47.3% (421)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Bennett
Stamkos
P1
46.6%
42.1%
P2
50.5%
56.4%
P3
43.5%
53.7%
OT
44.4%
62.5%
Final 5 min
47.8%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.9%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 12:59 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 11:33 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 01:17 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 18:02 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 09:02 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 03:15 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 18:39 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 08:50 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 08:38 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |