Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Bennett wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 48.3% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 68.9%
Defensive zone
Bennett 72.2%
Neutral zone
Bennett 69.0%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Bennett
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Bennett
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Bennett
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (780)
56.1% (342)
-9.7%
Power Play
57.3% (150)
53.3% (92)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
62.5% (8)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Bennett is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Bennett shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Bennett
Stamkos
Home
50.3% (519)
53.4% (208)
Away
45.7% (457)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Bennett
Stamkos
P1
47.5%
55.6%
P2
46.6%
52.8%
P3
49.8%
59.1%
OT
70.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
44.2%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |