Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 47.2% vs Stamkos 51.0% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 22-10 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 72.3%
Defensive zone
Bennett 75.6%
Neutral zone
Bennett 74.4%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Bennett
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
22
(32 meetings)
10
22
Bennett
Stamkos
Last 10: Bennett 3-7 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
5
3
Bennett
Stamkos
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
13
Bennett
Stamkos
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
3
6
Bennett
Stamkos
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (5,683)
50.4% (9,799)
-3.6%
Power Play
53.7% (555)
55.1% (1,725)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (256)
49.7% (825)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Bennett is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,262).
Bennett shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
Bennett
Stamkos
Home
48.4% (3,262)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
45.9% (3,232)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
Bennett
Stamkos
P1
48.0%
49.1%
P2
46.5%
52.7%
P3
46.9%
50.9%
OT
52.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
45.2%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:21 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 3 | 12:51 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:22 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 2 | 15:29 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 1 | 13:35 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 1 | 04:51 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:14 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 07:46 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 12:59 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 1 | 08:11 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |