Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Bennett wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 46.6% vs Stamkos 49.9% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 50.8%
Defensive zone
Bennett 66.6%
Neutral zone
Bennett 65.2%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Bennett
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Bennett
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Bennett
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (909)
49.3% (670)
-2.8%
Power Play
43.1% (51)
53.7% (121)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
33.3% (3)
+5.2%
On power play, Stamkos has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Bennett is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (316).
Bennett shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Home / Away
Bennett
Stamkos
Home
45.4% (449)
54.0% (400)
Away
46.9% (524)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Bennett
Stamkos
P1
49.6%
48.6%
P2
43.7%
54.5%
P3
45.1%
45.4%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |