Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Bennett wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 47.7% vs Thompson 46.5% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 62.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 62.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 62.3%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 62.3%
37.7%
62.3%
Bennett
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Bennett
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Bennett
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Bennett
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Bennett
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (630)
46.1% (484)
+0.2%
Power Play
52.5% (118)
48.4% (91)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (37)
30.0% (20)
+18.6%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Bennett is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (258).
Bennett shoots left. Thompson is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Bennett
Thompson
Home
48.4% (432)
47.9% (313)
Away
46.2% (353)
43.6% (282)
By Period
Bennett
Thompson
P1
46.1%
50.5%
P2
45.1%
44.6%
P3
50.8%
42.3%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
50.0%▲
43.0%
47.4%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |