Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bennett wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 48.3% vs Thompson 45.3% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 55.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 50.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 51.6%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Bennett
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Bennett
Thompson
Last 10: Bennett 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
2
1
Bennett
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Bennett
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Bennett
Thompson
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (780)
44.9% (642)
+1.5%
Power Play
57.3% (150)
47.9% (94)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
33.3% (33)
+14.5%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Bennett is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Bennett shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Bennett
Thompson
Home
50.3% (519)
46.0% (391)
Away
45.7% (457)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Bennett
Thompson
P1
47.5%
48.1%
P2
46.6%
44.9%
P3
49.8%
41.2%
OT
70.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
44.2%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 18:00 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |