Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 47.2% vs Thompson 42.8% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 19-14 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 70.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 70.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 66.7%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 69.2%
30.8%
69.2%
Bennett
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
19
(33 meetings)
14
19
Bennett
Thompson
Last 10: Bennett 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
5
9
Bennett
Thompson
14 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Bennett
Thompson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
5
6
Bennett
Thompson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (5,683)
42.9% (3,521)
+3.9%
Power Play
53.7% (555)
46.8% (372)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
41.8% (256)
33.6% (265)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Bennett is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,262).
Bennett shoots left. Thompson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,011).
Home / Away
Bennett
Thompson
Home
48.4% (3,262)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
45.9% (3,232)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Bennett
Thompson
P1
48.0%
44.5%
P2
46.5%
43.6%
P3
46.9%
40.2%
OT
52.5%
36.4%
Final 5 min
45.2%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 19:43 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 18:33 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 07:01 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 18:00 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Feb 2, 2026 | 1 | 03:55 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 11:28 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 04:05 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 15:11 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 10:45 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |