Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 45.9% vs Thompson 44.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 56.5%
Defensive zone
Thompson 67.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 58.5%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Bennett
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Bennett
Thompson
Last 5: Bennett 2-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
3
Bennett
Thompson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (772)
44.6% (709)
+0.1%
Power Play
56.9% (58)
41.5% (53)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (28)
35.1% (97)
+7.8%
On power play, Bennett has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Bennett is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Bennett shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Bennett
Thompson
Home
48.5% (447)
45.5% (426)
Away
42.1% (411)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Bennett
Thompson
P1
47.1%
48.5%
P2
45.8%
43.8%
P3
42.9%
38.1%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
45.5%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 18:46 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |