Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Bennett wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bennett 46.6% vs Thompson 43.7% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 68.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 68.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 71.2%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 69.4%
30.6%
69.4%
Bennett
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Bennett
Thompson
Last 8: Bennett 2-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
4
Bennett
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
0
Bennett
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Bennett
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bennett
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (909)
41.9% (597)
+4.6%
Power Play
43.1% (51)
50.5% (95)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (13)
25.0% (12)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Bennett is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (316).
Bennett shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Bennett
Thompson
Home
45.4% (449)
47.1% (367)
Away
46.9% (524)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Bennett
Thompson
P1
49.6%
44.2%
P2
43.7%
41.6%
P3
45.1%
42.9%
OT
57.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 10:45 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 06:24 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 12:57 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |