Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Lindholm wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 55.9% vs Carrick 53.0% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 89.8%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 53.1%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 60.9%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Lindholm
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Lindholm
Carrick
Last 8: Lindholm 7-1 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
5
0
Lindholm
Carrick
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
0
Lindholm
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
57.3% (944)
53.9% (521)
+3.4%
Power Play
61.1% (162)
57.1% (35)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (230)
51.5% (229)
-2.4%
On power play, Lindholm has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Lindholm is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Lindholm shoots right. Carrick is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (223).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Carrick
Home
55.2% (667)
52.7% (408)
Away
57.5% (669)
54.1% (377)
By Period
Lindholm
Carrick
P1
54.7%
51.4%
P2
55.5%
56.6%
P3
58.5%
52.1%
Final 5 min
53.4%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
56.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 13:46 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 01:37 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 03:33 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 12:28 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:33 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:51 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |