Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 51.5% vs Carrick 53.7% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 83.9%
Defensive zone
Carrick 75.7%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 51.7%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Suzuki
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Suzuki
Carrick
Last 5: Suzuki 1-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
0
Suzuki
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Suzuki
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Suzuki
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (981)
53.8% (654)
-1.4%
Power Play
50.7% (304)
0.0% (2)
+50.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (33)
63.9% (36)
-27.5%
On power play, Suzuki has a +50.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Suzuki is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Suzuki shoots right. Carrick is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Carrick
Home
53.2% (645)
50.0% (328)
Away
50.1% (673)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Suzuki
Carrick
P1
48.9%
56.7%
P2
51.5%
51.1%
P3
54.9%
54.8%
Final 5 min
51.4%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
51.6%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2025 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 05:51 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 02:28 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |