Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 49.5% vs Monahan 52.8% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 60.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 83.2%
Neutral zone
Carrick 62.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Carrick
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Carrick
Monahan
Last 5: Carrick 1-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Carrick
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
0
Carrick
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Carrick
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (352)
51.5% (641)
-2.6%
Power Play
81.3% (16)
62.8% (129)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (45)
33.3% (9)
+8.9%
On power play, Carrick has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Carrick shoots right. Monahan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Carrick
Monahan
Home
46.9% (192)
53.9% (362)
Away
51.6% (221)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Carrick
Monahan
P1
48.1%
48.0%
P2
50.0%
57.0%
P3
50.0%
54.1%
Final 5 min
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2022 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 2 | 13:13 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 16, 2022 | 2 | 04:24 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 11:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 06:17 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |