Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Carrick wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 53.0% vs Monahan 54.5% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 75.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 78.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 53.3%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Carrick
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Carrick
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Carrick
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (521)
57.1% (871)
-3.2%
Power Play
57.1% (35)
53.1% (262)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (229)
44.6% (139)
+6.9%
On penalty kill, Carrick has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Carrick shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Carrick
Monahan
Home
52.7% (408)
55.3% (644)
Away
54.1% (377)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Carrick
Monahan
P1
51.4%
53.9%
P2
56.6%
55.3%
P3
52.1%
54.4%
Final 5 min
57.7%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2023 | 3 | 07:20 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |