Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 54.1%). Carrick wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 53.0% vs Aho 53.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 85.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 86.2%
Neutral zone
Aho 51.7%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 85.0%
15.0%
85.0%
Carrick
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Carrick
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Carrick
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (521)
51.2% (785)
+2.7%
Power Play
57.1% (35)
63.8% (213)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (229)
57.9% (57)
-6.4%
On power play, Aho has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Carrick shoots right. Aho is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (406).
Home / Away
Carrick
Aho
Home
52.7% (408)
54.9% (548)
Away
54.1% (377)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Carrick
Aho
P1
51.4%
52.8%
P2
56.6%
58.9%
P3
52.1%
50.6%
Final 5 min
57.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 11:03 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |