Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Carrick wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 53.8% vs Crosby 55.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 80.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 84.9%
Neutral zone
Carrick 56.0%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Carrick
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Carrick
Crosby
Last 6: Carrick 2-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
3
Carrick
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Carrick
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (439)
53.7% (984)
+1.4%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
64.7% (241)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (53)
64.3% (14)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Carrick shoots right. Crosby is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Home / Away
Carrick
Crosby
Home
58.2% (225)
56.9% (649)
Away
51.5% (270)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Carrick
Crosby
P1
56.7%
55.8%
P2
52.8%
53.2%
P3
54.4%
58.7%
Final 5 min
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |