Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 52.1% vs Crosby 53.5% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 20-17 in 37 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 78.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 88.4%
Neutral zone
Carrick 62.5%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Carrick
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
20
(37 meetings)
17
20
Carrick
Crosby
Last 10: Carrick 5-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
2
11
Carrick
Crosby
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
9
1
Carrick
Crosby
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
6
8
Carrick
Crosby
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (2,513)
52.8% (17,990)
-0.7%
Power Play
61.3% (75)
57.4% (4,733)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (430)
47.1% (765)
+3.6%
On power play, Carrick has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Carrick shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
Carrick
Crosby
Home
51.2% (1,441)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
53.0% (1,577)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Carrick
Crosby
P1
51.8%
53.6%
P2
52.2%
53.9%
P3
52.4%
53.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 07:54 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:13 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 17:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |