Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 49.5% vs Crosby 52.8% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 92.7%
Defensive zone
Carrick 76.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 62.7%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Carrick
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Carrick
Crosby
Last 10: Carrick 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Carrick
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
0
Carrick
Crosby
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
4
3
Carrick
Crosby
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (307)
52.5% (1,443)
-3.3%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
54.7% (369)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (56)
55.9% (34)
-7.7%
On power play, Carrick has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Carrick shoots right. Crosby is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Carrick
Crosby
Home
50.3% (175)
53.0% (931)
Away
48.5% (194)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Carrick
Crosby
P1
41.0%
50.3%
P2
51.2%
55.4%
P3
55.3%
53.3%
Final 5 min
37.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:26 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 18:09 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:45 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:28 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 12:51 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 12:37 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 17:50 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |