Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Carrick wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 53.0% vs Crosby 57.8% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 58.8%
Defensive zone
Carrick 93.2%
Neutral zone
Carrick 69.4%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Carrick
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Carrick
Crosby
Last 10: Carrick 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
7
Carrick
Crosby
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
3
1
Carrick
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
2
Carrick
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (521)
57.8% (1,437)
-3.9%
Power Play
57.1% (35)
60.9% (381)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (229)
50.0% (54)
+1.5%
On even strength, Crosby has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Carrick is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Carrick shoots right. Crosby is 59.5% vs right-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
Carrick
Crosby
Home
52.7% (408)
59.2% (985)
Away
54.1% (377)
57.2% (887)
By Period
Carrick
Crosby
P1
51.4%
57.3%
P2
56.6%
59.5%
P3
52.1%
58.5%
Final 5 min
57.7%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
53.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 10:13 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 17:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 13:58 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 18:37 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |