Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Carrick wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carrick 53.7% vs Crosby 56.6% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 94.1%
Defensive zone
Carrick 66.2%
Neutral zone
Crosby 63.7%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Carrick
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Carrick
Crosby
Last 7: Carrick 5-2 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
4
0
Carrick
Crosby
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Carrick
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carrick
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (654)
56.2% (1,451)
-2.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
61.4% (293)
-61.4%
Penalty Kill
63.9% (36)
55.3% (38)
+8.6%
On power play, Crosby has a +61.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Carrick shoots right. Crosby is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Carrick
Crosby
Home
50.0% (328)
59.1% (939)
Away
58.0% (364)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Carrick
Crosby
P1
56.7%
54.9%
P2
51.1%
60.8%
P3
54.8%
55.4%
Final 5 min
48.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 07:54 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 9, 2024 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |