Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.1% vs Gagner 47.2% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 78.0%
Defensive zone
Tavares 69.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 79.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Tavares
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Tavares
Gagner
Last 8: Tavares 6-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
1
Tavares
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
0
Tavares
Gagner
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,121)
45.6% (651)
+6.8%
Power Play
51.3% (304)
53.8% (119)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
0.0% (1)
+58.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +58.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Tavares is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Tavares shoots left. Gagner is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Tavares
Gagner
Home
56.5% (731)
47.1% (367)
Away
47.8% (711)
46.5% (404)
By Period
Tavares
Gagner
P1
56.1%
49.6%
P2
50.3%
47.9%
P3
50.5%
43.4%
OT
50.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
51.5%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.2%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 03:45 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 03:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 10:19 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 00:37 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 1 | 06:35 | Neutral | John Tavares |