Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 46.1% vs Gagner 48.0% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 90.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 68.6%
Neutral zone
Gagner 63.8%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Hayes
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Hayes
Gagner
Last 8: Hayes 6-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
0
2
Hayes
Gagner
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
5
0
Hayes
Gagner
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Gagner
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (788)
46.5% (310)
-1.1%
Power Play
50.0% (56)
50.4% (115)
-0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Hayes is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Hayes shoots left. Gagner is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Hayes
Gagner
Home
46.6% (459)
52.4% (212)
Away
44.8% (509)
42.7% (213)
By Period
Hayes
Gagner
P1
43.0%
46.2%
P2
49.5%
52.2%
P3
44.7%
43.6%
OT
28.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
44.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
45.7%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2017 | 1 | 06:35 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 13, 2017 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Feb 13, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 13, 2017 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 11:43 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 08:12 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 1 | 04:27 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Nov 18, 2016 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |