Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 44.2% vs Lafferty 49.7% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 53.2%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 71.5%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 64.7%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Zacha
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Zacha
Lafferty
Last 5: Zacha 3-2 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Lafferty
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Lafferty
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
42.8% (514)
51.5% (204)
-8.7%
Power Play
51.9% (79)
41.7% (12)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (61)
35.0% (20)
+1.1%
On power play, Zacha has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Zacha is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (267).
Zacha shoots left. Lafferty is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Zacha
Lafferty
Home
45.0% (289)
49.2% (124)
Away
41.9% (365)
50.0% (112)
By Period
Zacha
Lafferty
P1
47.4%
48.9%
P2
43.8%
48.1%
P3
37.7%
51.6%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.3%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
43.3%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 3 | 01:37 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |