Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Sam Reinhart
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.9% vs Reinhart 46.8% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 80.3%
Defensive zone
Pageau 96.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 92.3%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 90.4%
90.4%
9.6%
Pageau
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Pageau
Reinhart
Last 8: Pageau 7-1 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Reinhart
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
0
Pageau
Reinhart
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
58.3% (674)
44.4% (234)
+13.9%
Power Play
57.1% (77)
55.3% (38)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (82)
25.0% (4)
+17.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Pageau is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Pageau shoots right. Reinhart is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Pageau
Reinhart
Home
57.4% (439)
44.9% (158)
Away
55.8% (394)
46.6% (118)
By Period
Pageau
Reinhart
P1
54.0%
43.0%
P2
55.0%
46.7%
P3
60.8%
46.3%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
56.7%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| May 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:50 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 19:23 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| May 4, 2021 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| May 4, 2021 | 1 | 09:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 2 | 13:59 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |