Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Reinhart wins 45.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 48.8% vs Zegras 41.5% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 52.9%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 75.7%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 64.4%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Reinhart
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Reinhart
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
1
0
Reinhart
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (275)
39.4% (510)
+8.6%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
47.1% (34)
+1.0%
On even strength, Reinhart has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Reinhart is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Reinhart shoots right. Zegras is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Zegras
Home
49.8% (201)
42.3% (272)
Away
46.8% (158)
37.5% (272)
By Period
Reinhart
Zegras
P1
54.8%
37.6%
P2
40.5%
41.5%
P3
50.0%
40.8%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.5%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
46.0%▲
41.0%
48.5%
Zegras
26.0%▼
35.5%
39.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 10:37 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |