Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Reinhart wins 38.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zegras shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 42.7% vs Zegras 41.3% (+4.6%)
Offensive zone
Zegras 63.6%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 65.4%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 53.9%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Reinhart
Zegras
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (324)
36.5% (156)
+7.6%
Power Play
40.3% (72)
40.7% (27)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
33.9% (118)
0.0% (3)
+33.9%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Reinhart is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Reinhart shoots right. Zegras is 33.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Zegras
Home
40.5% (232)
38.9% (113)
Away
41.8% (282)
32.9% (73)
By Period
Reinhart
Zegras
P1
46.4%
40.0%
P2
32.6%
38.1%
P3
45.4%
31.6%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
36.6%