Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reinhart 50.5% vs Zegras 42.6% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 63.0%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 69.8%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 71.2%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Reinhart
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Reinhart
Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
1
0
Reinhart
Zegras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reinhart
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (259)
41.1% (559)
+8.3%
Power Play
54.4% (136)
50.0% (12)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (71)
50.0% (2)
-2.1%
On even strength, Reinhart has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Reinhart is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Reinhart shoots right. Zegras is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Reinhart
Zegras
Home
54.9% (235)
45.7% (247)
Away
46.3% (231)
38.0% (326)
By Period
Reinhart
Zegras
P1
52.3%
45.5%
P2
50.0%
36.8%
P3
50.0%
41.1%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2023 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |