Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barbashev wins 38.6% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.3% vs Steel 49.4% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 80.7%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 79.3%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 82.2%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Barbashev
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Barbashev
Steel
Last 5: Barbashev 0-5 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
3
Barbashev
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
2
Barbashev
Steel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
37.9% (272)
49.3% (383)
-11.4%
Power Play
58.6% (29)
59.1% (22)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (27)
14.3% (7)
+26.4%
On penalty kill, Barbashev has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Barbashev is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Barbashev shoots left. Steel is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Steel
Home
45.3% (137)
49.4% (180)
Away
36.1% (191)
49.1% (232)
By Period
Barbashev
Steel
P1
41.8%
51.9%
P2
43.1%
43.8%
P3
31.9%
52.6%
Final 5 min
37.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
39.9%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2021 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 2 | 06:52 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 1 | 10:55 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 7, 2021 | 1 | 00:42 | Neutral | Sam Steel |