Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Steel wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 48.8% vs Karlsson 54.9% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 73.5%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 88.5%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 69.5%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 71.5%
28.5%
71.5%
Steel
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Steel
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
1
0
Steel
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
0
Steel
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (553)
55.3% (897)
-5.8%
Power Play
61.3% (31)
61.1% (113)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (49)
50.8% (132)
-20.2%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Steel shoots left. Karlsson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (752).
Home / Away
Steel
Karlsson
Home
46.4% (347)
58.6% (560)
Away
51.4% (286)
52.2% (582)
By Period
Steel
Karlsson
P1
52.1%
55.8%
P2
49.8%
55.6%
P3
45.2%
55.7%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.8%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2023 | 1 | 12:14 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 02:41 | Neutral | Sam Steel |