Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Steel wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 52.8% vs Karlsson 57.1% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 58.6%
Defensive zone
Steel 68.1%
Neutral zone
Steel 61.3%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Steel
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Steel
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Steel
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (320)
58.6% (597)
-1.7%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
57.9% (57)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (73)
51.9% (52)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Steel is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Steel shoots left. Karlsson is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Steel
Karlsson
Home
55.9% (202)
59.6% (344)
Away
51.0% (198)
56.6% (362)
By Period
Steel
Karlsson
P1
55.5%
53.1%
P2
55.1%
62.1%
P3
50.3%
60.1%
Final 5 min
60.6%
61.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | William Karlsson |