Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Steel on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 50.2% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 30-18 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 70.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 78.8%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 69.1%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Steel
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
18
(48 meetings)
30
18
Steel
Karlsson
Last 10: Steel 4-6 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
14
6
Steel
Karlsson
20 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Steel
Karlsson
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
12
8
Steel
Karlsson
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (2,876)
51.8% (7,849)
-1.2%
Power Play
62.6% (179)
54.8% (1,048)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
37.4% (254)
44.2% (1,109)
-6.8%
On power play, Steel has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Steel shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Steel
Karlsson
Home
50.0% (1,560)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
50.4% (1,749)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Steel
Karlsson
P1
51.9%
50.3%
P2
49.5%
51.3%
P3
49.6%
52.4%
OT
41.9%
44.9%
Final 5 min
48.4%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2024 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 3, 2023 | 1 | 12:14 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 02:41 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 08:40 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 11:06 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 18:13 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 14:06 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 11:05 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 08:31 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 14:36 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 08:00 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 15:17 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 12:42 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 18:45 | Offensive | William Karlsson |