Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Steel wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 50.6% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-6.8%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 51.4%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 52.2%
Neutral zone
Steel 57.0%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Steel
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (200)
58.5% (135)
-6.0%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
80.0% (5)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (45)
44.4% (18)
-4.4%
On power play, Karlsson has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Steel shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Steel
Karlsson
Home
49.5% (109)
63.7% (91)
Away
51.7% (143)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Steel
Karlsson
P1
49.5%
54.4%
P2
47.5%
66.7%
P3
56.6%
51.9%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%