Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McDavid wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 42.2% vs Couturier 52.6% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 82.3%
Defensive zone
McDavid 81.0%
Neutral zone
McDavid 83.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
McDavid
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
McDavid
Couturier
Last 7: McDavid 1-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McDavid
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
4
McDavid
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
1
McDavid
Couturier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (855)
53.5% (770)
-12.1%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
59.4% (69)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
35.5% (31)
46.9% (162)
-11.4%
On even strength, Couturier has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. McDavid is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
McDavid shoots left. Couturier is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (607).
Home / Away
McDavid
Couturier
Home
42.8% (451)
53.8% (452)
Away
40.0% (458)
52.1% (549)
By Period
McDavid
Couturier
P1
38.0%
53.4%
P2
44.9%
52.8%
P3
41.7%
52.4%
OT
20.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
47.9%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.4%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 06:49 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 06:44 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 01:06 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |