Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.2% vs Monahan 54.5% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 53.1%
Defensive zone
Monahan 52.7%
Neutral zone
Couturier 53.1%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Couturier
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Couturier
Monahan
Last 10: Couturier 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
2
Couturier
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Couturier
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Couturier
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,003)
57.1% (871)
-3.3%
Power Play
56.4% (202)
53.1% (262)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (89)
44.6% (139)
-1.9%
On even strength, Monahan has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Couturier shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Couturier
Monahan
Home
54.4% (680)
55.3% (644)
Away
52.4% (614)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Couturier
Monahan
P1
56.3%
53.9%
P2
51.8%
55.3%
P3
52.2%
54.4%
OT
60.9%
76.5%
Final 5 min
52.3%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 14:48 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 05:23 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 04:21 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |