Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.5% vs 53.1%). Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.2% vs Monahan 52.8% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 68.9%
Defensive zone
Couturier 71.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.9%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Couturier
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Couturier
Monahan
Last 7: Couturier 4-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Couturier
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
0
Couturier
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (758)
53.2% (823)
+0.2%
Power Play
62.9% (70)
55.3% (159)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (227)
48.4% (95)
+2.3%
On power play, Couturier has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Couturier is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (680).
Couturier shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Couturier
Monahan
Home
50.7% (517)
54.6% (529)
Away
56.1% (538)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Couturier
Monahan
P1
55.2%
49.0%
P2
53.0%
55.4%
P3
53.3%
53.6%
OT
42.4%
61.9%
Final 5 min
55.0%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 04:25 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 11:15 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |