Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 30 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 52.6% vs Monahan 51.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 51-50 in 101 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 67.9%
Defensive zone
Couturier 66.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 50.9%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Couturier
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
50
-
51
(101 meetings)
50
51
Couturier
Monahan
Last 10: Couturier 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
13
17
Couturier
Monahan
30 total
Defensive Zone
Even
19
19
Couturier
Monahan
38 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
18
15
Couturier
Monahan
33 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (11,063)
51.1% (11,356)
+1.4%
Power Play
59.7% (1,280)
53.7% (2,580)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (1,816)
46.0% (766)
+2.5%
On power play, Couturier has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Couturier shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Couturier
Monahan
Home
53.4% (7,147)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
51.8% (7,019)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Couturier
Monahan
P1
52.5%
50.9%
P2
52.6%
51.7%
P3
52.9%
51.0%
OT
49.4%
53.5%
Final 5 min
53.1%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 04:25 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 13:58 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 3 | 11:15 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 28, 2026 | 2 | 05:02 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 14:48 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 05:23 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 10:24 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 13:37 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 04:21 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 10, 2024 | 2 | 06:54 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |