Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Couturier wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 55.6% vs Monahan 52.4% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 52.4%
Defensive zone
Monahan 53.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 61.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Couturier
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Couturier
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
1
Couturier
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
5
Couturier
Monahan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (1,008)
52.4% (853)
+2.7%
Power Play
64.1% (142)
58.6% (174)
+5.5%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (45)
46.5% (144)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Couturier is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (790).
Couturier shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Couturier
Monahan
Home
58.1% (609)
53.4% (624)
Away
53.9% (586)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Couturier
Monahan
P1
55.3%
53.7%
P2
55.8%
52.4%
P3
57.4%
51.6%
OT
45.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
56.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |