Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Couturier wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 54.5% vs Stamkos 50.9% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 13-9 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 51.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 68.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 67.8%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Couturier
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
9
(22 meetings)
13
9
Couturier
Stamkos
Last 10: Couturier 6-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
2
4
Couturier
Stamkos
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
6
3
Couturier
Stamkos
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
5
2
Couturier
Stamkos
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
57.4% (303)
49.3% (789)
+8.1%
Power Play
65.5% (55)
56.9% (181)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (70)
54.1% (98)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Couturier is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Couturier shoots left. Stamkos is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (798).
Home / Away
Couturier
Stamkos
Home
54.3% (219)
52.0% (512)
Away
56.9% (209)
50.2% (556)
By Period
Couturier
Stamkos
P1
53.2%
42.1%
P2
54.8%
56.4%
P3
57.9%
53.7%
OT
71.4%
62.5%
Final 5 min
57.6%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
55.6%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 05:40 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 05:29 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 14:31 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 14:16 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 15:15 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 08:03 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 15:05 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 01:29 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 18:17 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 18:01 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |