Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Couturier wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.2% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 61.9%
Defensive zone
Couturier 50.4%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 57.2%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 58.4%
41.6%
58.4%
Couturier
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
Couturier
Stamkos
Last 10: Couturier 9-1 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
5
1
Couturier
Stamkos
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Couturier
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
0
Couturier
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (1,003)
55.9% (499)
-2.1%
Power Play
56.4% (202)
56.3% (126)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (89)
58.3% (12)
-15.6%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Couturier is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Couturier shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Couturier
Stamkos
Home
54.4% (680)
55.3% (349)
Away
52.4% (614)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Couturier
Stamkos
P1
56.3%
57.0%
P2
51.8%
59.2%
P3
52.2%
51.5%
OT
60.9%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 12:37 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 3 | 09:43 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:37 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 10:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 2 | 09:56 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 23, 2024 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |