Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Couturier wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couturier 53.2% vs Stamkos 54.6% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 64.2%
Defensive zone
Couturier 83.5%
Neutral zone
Couturier 59.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 59.7%
59.7%
40.3%
Couturier
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Couturier
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Couturier
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Couturier
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couturier
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (758)
56.1% (342)
-2.7%
Power Play
62.9% (70)
53.3% (92)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (227)
62.5% (8)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Couturier is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Couturier shoots left. Stamkos is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Home / Away
Couturier
Stamkos
Home
50.7% (517)
53.4% (208)
Away
56.1% (538)
57.7% (234)
By Period
Couturier
Stamkos
P1
55.2%
55.6%
P2
53.0%
52.8%
P3
53.3%
59.1%
OT
42.4%
62.5%
Final 5 min
55.0%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:16 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 12:36 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |