Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 42.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 44.1% vs Kuraly 55.9% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 83.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 76.5%
Neutral zone
Malkin 55.2%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Malkin
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Malkin
Kuraly
Last 5: Malkin 2-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Malkin
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (340)
58.4% (310)
-16.0%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
66.7% (6)
-19.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
53.0% (83)
-53.0%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +53.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Malkin is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Malkin shoots left. Kuraly is 62.2% vs left-shot opponents (209).
Home / Away
Malkin
Kuraly
Home
43.6% (172)
57.1% (184)
Away
41.4% (186)
57.7% (215)
By Period
Malkin
Kuraly
P1
43.4%
56.0%
P2
44.2%
56.6%
P3
38.7%
58.0%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
44.9%
62.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
42.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |