Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Malkin wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Kuraly 49.5% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Malkin leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 69.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 90.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 66.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Malkin
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Malkin
Kuraly
Last 10: Malkin 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
4
1
Malkin
Kuraly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
5
Malkin
Kuraly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
5
1
Malkin
Kuraly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
52.3% (982)
-8.3%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
41.9% (43)
-11.9%
On power play, Kuraly has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Malkin is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Malkin shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Malkin
Kuraly
Home
45.5% (202)
50.3% (680)
Away
41.4% (174)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Malkin
Kuraly
P1
48.4%
49.5%
P2
41.7%
49.6%
P3
40.4%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
42.7%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:17 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:10 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 07:28 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 03:16 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 04:06 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 10:31 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:56 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:52 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:32 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |