Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hughes wins 33.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hughes 38.0% vs Kuraly 49.5% (-14.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 94.8%
Defensive zone
Hughes 69.6%
Neutral zone
Hughes 83.3%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Hughes
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Hughes
Kuraly
Last 7: Hughes 1-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Hughes
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Hughes
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hughes
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (342)
52.3% (982)
-17.8%
Power Play
42.9% (7)
41.9% (43)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
39.2% (245)
-14.2%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Hughes is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Hughes shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Hughes
Kuraly
Home
32.6% (187)
50.3% (680)
Away
36.7% (166)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Hughes
Kuraly
P1
33.9%
49.5%
P2
34.2%
49.6%
P3
36.5%
49.0%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
29.7%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
34.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:53 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 17:35 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 00:08 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 2 | 02:45 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 8, 2022 | 1 | 02:01 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 04:54 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |