Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.7% vs Kuraly 46.9% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 87.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 53.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 70.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Tavares
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Tavares
Kuraly
Last 8: Tavares 6-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,239)
46.0% (661)
+6.9%
Power Play
54.7% (309)
77.8% (9)
-23.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (178)
47.1% (51)
+2.9%
On power play, Kuraly has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Tavares is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,124).
Tavares shoots left. Kuraly is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (524).
Home / Away
Tavares
Kuraly
Home
55.0% (864)
47.2% (335)
Away
50.8% (862)
45.9% (386)
By Period
Tavares
Kuraly
P1
51.8%
47.1%
P2
51.4%
44.6%
P3
54.5%
48.1%
Final 5 min
52.8%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 13:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 17:52 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 14:14 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 13:49 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 04:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:38 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |