Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McCarron on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 52.8% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McCarron 72.0%
Defensive zone
McCarron 51.3%
Neutral zone
McCarron 62.4%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
McCarron
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
2
(11 meetings)
9
2
McCarron
Kuraly
Last 10: McCarron 8-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
0
McCarron
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
1
McCarron
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
5
1
McCarron
Kuraly
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (618)
49.4% (445)
+5.1%
Power Play
42.1% (19)
100.0% (3)
-57.9%
Penalty Kill
35.3% (34)
41.9% (117)
-6.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McCarron is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (463).
McCarron shoots right. Kuraly is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (211).
Home / Away
McCarron
Kuraly
Home
52.2% (339)
49.2% (248)
Away
54.2% (332)
47.3% (317)
By Period
McCarron
Kuraly
P1
53.5%
48.3%
P2
50.6%
44.7%
P3
55.9%
51.7%
Final 5 min
45.9%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 18:53 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 10:23 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 17:03 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 14:16 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |