Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 50.8% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 61.0%
Defensive zone
Poehling 65.7%
Neutral zone
Poehling 63.4%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Poehling
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Poehling
Kuraly
Last 5: Poehling 1-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
4
Poehling
Kuraly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Poehling
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (622)
55.3% (515)
-2.7%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
55.6% (9)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (103)
44.8% (58)
-5.0%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Poehling shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Poehling
Kuraly
Home
53.2% (393)
57.3% (293)
Away
48.3% (344)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Poehling
Kuraly
P1
50.9%
53.8%
P2
56.2%
51.5%
P3
46.1%
57.6%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 04:37 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |