Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 48.1% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 22-11 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Poehling 74.2%
Defensive zone
Poehling 62.8%
Neutral zone
Poehling 67.4%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 68.7%
68.7%
31.3%
Poehling
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
22
(33 meetings)
11
22
Poehling
Kuraly
Last 10: Poehling 2-8 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
8
Poehling
Kuraly
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
5
Poehling
Kuraly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
6
9
Poehling
Kuraly
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (2,726)
51.5% (5,141)
-2.1%
Power Play
51.6% (93)
56.0% (100)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (623)
44.2% (1,086)
-2.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Poehling is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,301).
Poehling shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
Poehling
Kuraly
Home
49.3% (1,688)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
46.9% (1,754)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Poehling
Kuraly
P1
50.9%
51.1%
P2
47.0%
49.9%
P3
46.9%
50.0%
OT
37.9%
52.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 02:03 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 01:55 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 04:37 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 09:55 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 14:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 13:26 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 08:24 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 05:54 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:51 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:30 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 14:35 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 10:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:52 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |