Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.5% vs Monahan 52.8% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 69.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 88.3%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 58.7%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Kuraly
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Kuraly
Monahan
Last 10: Kuraly 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
8
Kuraly
Monahan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
0
Kuraly
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (982)
51.5% (641)
+0.8%
Power Play
41.9% (43)
62.8% (129)
-20.9%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (245)
33.3% (9)
+5.9%
On power play, Monahan has a +20.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Kuraly shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Monahan
Home
50.3% (680)
53.9% (362)
Away
48.5% (590)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Kuraly
Monahan
P1
49.5%
48.0%
P2
49.6%
57.0%
P3
49.0%
54.1%
OT
57.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 12:39 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:01 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 15, 2022 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 3 | 10:59 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:31 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 26, 2022 | 1 | 19:51 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |