Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.7% vs Monahan 53.9% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 80.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 86.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 56.8%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 54.6%
54.6%
45.4%
Kuraly
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
15
(27 meetings)
12
15
Kuraly
Monahan
Last 10: Kuraly 2-8 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
6
Kuraly
Monahan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
6
2
Kuraly
Monahan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
4
7
Kuraly
Monahan
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (901)
54.5% (231)
-5.3%
Power Play
68.2% (22)
58.2% (67)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (219)
52.2% (23)
-2.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Kuraly shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Monahan
Home
51.7% (603)
53.5% (144)
Away
47.3% (539)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Kuraly
Monahan
P1
50.9%
52.5%
P2
49.5%
50.9%
P3
49.1%
60.8%
OT
25.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.9%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 03:35 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:08 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:06 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:05 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 14:49 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 14:15 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 12:01 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |