Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 50.3% vs Monahan 51.3% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 34-22 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 75.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 83.2%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 59.5%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Kuraly
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
34
(56 meetings)
22
34
Kuraly
Monahan
Last 10: Kuraly 3-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
17
Kuraly
Monahan
20 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
13
6
Kuraly
Monahan
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
6
11
Kuraly
Monahan
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (5,141)
51.1% (11,356)
+0.4%
Power Play
56.0% (100)
53.7% (2,580)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,086)
46.0% (766)
-1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Kuraly shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Monahan
Home
51.9% (3,187)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
48.7% (3,141)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Kuraly
Monahan
P1
51.1%
50.9%
P2
49.9%
51.7%
P3
50.0%
51.0%
OT
52.3%
53.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 03:35 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 01:08 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:06 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 06:11 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:05 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |