Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 48.4% vs Monahan 54.5% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 78.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 77.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 51.9%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Kuraly
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kuraly
Monahan
Last 6: Kuraly 3-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Kuraly
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
1
Kuraly
Monahan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (445)
57.1% (871)
-7.7%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
53.1% (262)
+46.9%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (117)
44.6% (139)
-2.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +46.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Kuraly shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Monahan
Home
49.2% (248)
55.3% (644)
Away
47.3% (317)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Kuraly
Monahan
P1
48.3%
53.9%
P2
44.7%
55.3%
P3
51.7%
54.4%
Final 5 min
41.7%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
48.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 09:34 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |